Excellent analysis. The question of how conservative to go is an old conundrum. While unnecessary delay may be generated, the clear advantage is that the delay is manageable by the airline. There were some studies regarding total delay/disruption of “roll the dice” vs crank it down proactively.
With the pilots and F/As picketing this week, I wonder if the company anticipates some sort of work action over the weekend, and the waiver is just a preemptive strike (no pun intended)?
Good question. Even if there's nothing like a slow down, picketing by itself figures to break some crew scheduling assumptions—a lot less likely to pick up a trip if it means you have to excuse yourself from/walk through a picketing line.
Excellent analysis. The question of how conservative to go is an old conundrum. While unnecessary delay may be generated, the clear advantage is that the delay is manageable by the airline. There were some studies regarding total delay/disruption of “roll the dice” vs crank it down proactively.
It’s a really tough decision to make without worthwhile, real-time probabilities, but we think we can help on that front!
With the pilots and F/As picketing this week, I wonder if the company anticipates some sort of work action over the weekend, and the waiver is just a preemptive strike (no pun intended)?
Good question. Even if there's nothing like a slow down, picketing by itself figures to break some crew scheduling assumptions—a lot less likely to pick up a trip if it means you have to excuse yourself from/walk through a picketing line.